Taylor Swift‘s Eras Tour concert film is looking at a massive box office opening that could topple even the likes of WBD’s Barbie movie’s weekend earnings. The singer’s potential blockbuster feature has already defeated MCU’s Spider-Man: No Way Home with a record-breaking ticket pre-sale of $26 million but it’s far from being the only feat going by early predictions.
Taylor Swift’s upcoming concert movie is likely to be recorded as a historic box office feat, particularly for landing an October 14 release date. Hollywood features released in the month of October have failed to hit the $100M debut threshold so far, with only the R-rated Joker movie coming close at a $96 million three-day earning estimate. But theater exhibitor’s opening prediction for Swift’s pic indicates it would sore past higher.
As THR reports, sources from the theater exhibition industry believe Eras Tour would debut at $100 million and are also not eliminating the possibility of a $150M + grossing domestically. So far, Barbie is the only blockbuster in 2023 to earn $150M+ on the opening weekend. If the prediction pans out, some fans point out it would easily dominate the BO weekend record of Shazam! Fury of the Gods, The Flash and Blue Beetle.
It’s certainly good news for theater exhibitors especially since the WGA & Actors Strike has pushed off blockbusters like Dune Part Two & comic book movies like Sony’s Kraven the Hunter which attracts the younger crowd. Speaking of, union artists currently protesting against AMPTP have also praised Taylor Swift for playing a role in casting aside the Hollywood studio system to independently distribute the movie via a collaboration with AMC Theaters.
— Josh❤️Blue Beetle, Superman BB25 #BlackLivesMatter (@supermangeek101) September 5, 2023
🚨 According to box office analysts, Taylor Swift’s "The Eras Tour" concert film is aiming to earn $150M+ in its opening weekend at the domestic box office.
It would mark the biggest opening weekend of the year, surpassing "Barbie".
— Taylor Swift World (@TSWorId) September 3, 2023
the fact that it’s not being released internationally and it’s only AMC theater chains and it’s doing THESE numbers is actually insane https://t.co/vixRNcFWJV
— bellylint (@bellylint4) September 5, 2023
"The Eras Tour" is challenging to become the first film in October have a $100M opening weekend in the US (via @ERCboxoffice).
#1. JOKER — $96M
#2. Venom 2 — $90M
#3. Venom — $80M
#4. Halloween 2018 — $76M
#5. Black Adam — $67M pic.twitter.com/iD5cH6LgB2
— Taylor Swift Charts (@chartstswift) September 1, 2023
Phenomenal. Taylor Swift just announced The Eras Tour Movie yesterday, and she’s already breaking advanced ticket sales records. AMC Theaters broke their record for most single-day ticket sales, at $26 million in just three hours. pic.twitter.com/7Oadk12pmX
— Mike Sington (@MikeSington) September 1, 2023
a Hollywood event! https://t.co/15SZYY9BUA
— manoban Anti-Hero (@folkIisa) September 5, 2023
that's insane considering how this easily could've been a straight to netflix documentary https://t.co/yDl8ex697T
— paranoid (@paranoidown) September 5, 2023
— Gabriel ⧗ (@dorksofprey) September 5, 2023
I'm still hoping mother will make this available internationally not just in canada and mexico 🙏🙏 https://t.co/qfzamaM7sm
— Eras TS (@squidilicious18) September 5, 2023
Taylor Swift’s ERAS TOUR film has reportedly broken the all-time record for highest first-day pre-sales at Cinépolis Mexico, beating ‘AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR.’ https://t.co/9NHtejnH3l pic.twitter.com/v9WGsWaMfR
— Film Updates (@FilmUpdates) September 6, 2023
hopefully breaking the Barbie North American record 😭🤞🏻pls https://t.co/Nrsmp56pO9
— k 🐞✨1989 tv (@eatingchoc_kake) September 5, 2023
Puck News also reported Universal Pictures were displeased by the move since studios did not receive a “heads-up”. But at a time when artists are being encouraged to participate in independent studio projects not part of the AMPTP (like A24) – Swift’s decision is being hailed for sending a clear message that “the dynamics of cinema distribution” could change if major studios fail to prioritize artists’ values.
A worldwide release could arguably see the weekend earnings soaring past higher than $200M but it is currently set for an exclusive release in the U.S., Canada and Mexico. Eras Tour concert pic is expected to land an international release as well but there has been no announcement as of this writing. It is possible for, Swift’s team might likely be approached by a major studio for the international territory distribution.
With Jason Blum also moving up The Exorcist: Believer‘s release date to avoid competing with Taylor Swift’s pic, the concert flick faces no huge competition at least until Martin Scorsese‘s Killers of the Flower Moon lands in theaters. The pre-ticket sales in Cinépolis Mexico have also witnessed an overwhelming response, beating the record held by Avengers: Infinity War.
If this was opening globally…..it would dethrone Barbie 💀 https://t.co/car9etkvcB
— Victor Mkhetsane (@VictorMkhetsane) September 5, 2023
Should’ve had her in the barbie movie 😌 https://t.co/mmO70G52eJ
— ザラ (@promiselonglive) September 5, 2023
— swagy_23(taylors version) (@swagy_23) September 5, 2023
She might break Barbie's records too https://t.co/OC3Xa5ACvE
— BLACKPINK In Your Area🖤💗 (@Blink4Pinks) September 5, 2023
now imagine the demand for her actual movie she’s making https://t.co/NvU55KjTM9
— thomas | speak now TV!!! (@splxtern) September 1, 2023
— m struggled to get his career off the ground (@swiftdanverss) September 5, 2023
Taylor Swift is THE FILM INDUSTRY. https://t.co/fiB78a1u3x
— pub-we (@state_of_Lover) September 1, 2023
this is gonna beat shazam flash & blue beetle openings combined…. https://t.co/l0r8ggAvXz
— zach (@anericanpsycho) September 1, 2023
When The Eras tour movie beat Avatar, Endgame, and Titanic, then what? https://t.co/oX1ZEPOtAU
— jeffrey (@jeffodonnell69) September 1, 2023
The Eras Tour concert movie will be released in theaters on October on October 13.
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